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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
John Pardon
97%
Yu Deng
97%
9 more
$743K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
3000+
99%
4 more
$33K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
93%
3rd hottest
7%
2 more
$106K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
42 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
83%
1.25–1.29ºC
16%
4 more
$39K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
47 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
70%
3-4"
16%
4 more
$30K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
48 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
≤8
36%
Yes
No
9
18%
Yes
No
$10K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$70
49 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
49%
August 30
49%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
57%
Yes
No
1
28%
Yes
No
$3.0K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
32 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
72%
525-550mm
14%
8 more
$23K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
36 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
68%
0.5-1"
20%
5 more
$947.15
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
37 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
69%
100–129
18%
7 more
$1.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
40 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
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